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A recent poll indicates that voters in Florida are likely to approve two highly debated measures on the upcoming November ballot: recreational cannabis and abortion rights.
The poll, conducted by the Public Opinion Research Lab (PORL) at the University of North Florida, was released on Monday and shows strong support for both measures. Specifically, 66% of voters back Amendment 3, which aims to legalize recreational marijuana, while exactly 60% of voters are in favor of Amendment 4, which would secure the right to abortion.
For an amendment to be added to Florida’s Constitution, it requires at least 60% voter approval statewide. The poll, which comes with a margin of error of about 3.5 percentage points, suggests that both amendments are on track to meet this threshold.
Michael Binder, a professor of political science and the director of PORL, commented on the survey stating that after years of Floridians polling on cannabis legalization, it’s evident that the majority of voters are in favor. Binder also noted that support for legalization has risen slightly, gaining two percentage points since the last PORL survey conducted in July, where 64% of voters expressed their intention to vote “yes.”
While support for Amendment 3 has increased, the abortion rights measure has just barely crossed the 60% threshold, according to Binder. Currently, 32% of respondents are opposed to Amendment 4, while 8% remain undecided.
The survey results come at a time when Governor Ron DeSantis and his administration have been actively opposing both initiatives. The governor has even used public funds to finance public service statements from state agencies that criticize the amendments. This has sparked several legal battles aimed at stopping the amendments, though most have been unsuccessful so far.
Additionally, the Florida Department of State recently published a report accusing the group behind the abortion rights amendment of fraudulent practices during the petition-gathering process. The group denies any misconduct, and the report led to a lawsuit filed by an anti-abortion organization seeking to invalidate the results of the votes on the measure.
The PORL survey polled 977 likely voters between October 7 and 18, targeting individuals from the state’s 10 key media markets. The sample was drawn from the state’s September 2024 voter file and included both mobile and landline phone numbers. To qualify for the poll, voters had to have participated in one of Florida’s general elections in 2016, 2018, 2020, or 2022, or the state’s primary elections in 2020, 2022, or 2024. Those who indicated that they would “definitely”or “probably” not vote in the November election were excluded.
If the adult-use legalization measure passes, the launch of recreational cannabis sales is likely to expand the business opportunities available to not only plant-touching marijuana companies but also other ancillary entities, such as those operating on the same model as Innovative Industrial Properties Inc. (NYSE: IIPR).
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